There are two concerns over the removal of Morsi, the army and violence. Knowing the army is famously corrupt holding a number of lucrative business interests that keep senior leadership conformable, nonetheless has a reputation for professionalism, competence and impartiality. Staging its coup against Morsi, the army sided with one half of the population against the other, and thereby created the conditions for civil war. The second key is that the coup comports perfectly with the Muslim brotherhood’s historical narrative: the west and its Muslim lackeys are determined to oppress real Muslims; our enemies will not allow us to rule ourselves.
The white house has been neutral in its public language, suggesting only that Egypt return to democratic norms as quickly as possible. Administration officials have been encouraging the country’s new ruling coalition to bring the Brotherhood back into the political process as soon as possible. The Brotherhood and its supporters are blaming the USA for the coup. They feel Morsi was overthrown by an American-trained and funded army. Ambassador Anne Patterson who broke the news to Morsi aides that the army was kicking them out the country is being returned to the same parties that proved incapable of managing Egypt after Mubarak’s exit—primarily the military along with other so-called secular forces including the young revolutionaries or Tamarrod movement.
Under Murbarak Egypt’s economy won high marks form the IMF and World Bank for reforms implemented by a group of financiers headed up by Murbarak’s son Gamal.
Morsi did not dare implement the austerity measures required by the IMF because this would have cause more civic unrest. Many middle class Egyptians expect the government to provide subsidies for virtually every staple.
The much-feared Tamarrod group, was able to bring down president for life Mubarak, they toppled a pharaoh.
The upside to date is that Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia are stepping up to help stop the bleeding. Billions of dollars of post-coup pledges of assistance form the Gulf states, led by Riyadh’s $5 billion will augment Qatar’s continued contributions totaling to date some $8 billion.
Newly named Prime Minister Hazem el-Beblawi said “we must create a clear understanding for the public that the level of subsidies in Egypt is unsustainable, and the situation is critical. 40% of Egyptians live on less than $2 dollars a day!
Adli Mansour, says that all parties are welcome to run in the next elections, including the Brotherhood, but it is unlikely because the Tamarrod movement want the Brotherhood banned form political life forever. The participation of other Islamist group’s hinges on a number of factors, it’s true that the Salafist hate the Brotherhood and the country’s second largest Islamist party after the Brotherhood, Al Nour agreed at first to participate in the ruling coalition. However after the army killed brotherhood supporters, Al Nour withdrew from consultations.
If the confrontation between the army and the brotherhood continues to draw blood, it will be difficult to justify participating in a political process that, as the brotherhood will make sure to clarify is overseen by an American funded army that is spilling the blood of authentic Muslims. The Salafist may wind up sidelined if not compelled to side with the brotherhood. The brotherhood is not really that popular with the Egyptian public.
The reality is most Egyptians, as well as the rest of the world, remain convinced that Morsi won Egypt’s first free election with 51.7%. Their political will was nullified by the army on behalf of a vocal but not necessarily representative protest movement.
Going to the street and employing violence has been proven to work—after all l, it toppled two presidents. Military did not want to see Mubarak raise his son Gamal to the presidency it made no move to clear the streets when protesters went out in January 2011 to bring down the aging autocrat. Lacking a civilian front man the military was then forced to rule directly a role it played reluctantly and performed poorly.
The army is largely responsible for the mayhem now on the streets. It took sides against roughly half the nation. Whether to try to adjudicate the war that it started, or choose to finish the job itself and take up arms against half of the country.
Brotherhood waged terrorist operations that harmed the general population; it would risk losing the sympathy the coup has earned, and to mobilize forces in the Sinai. Already Hamas and Sinai-based jihadist have been active in what has become the Wild West of the eastern Mediterranean.
Perhaps the key strategic concern is that the brotherhood may go after the Egyptian army’s Achilles’ heel—the unpopular peace treaty with Israel that ensure the military continued flows of American money and arms. It may try to embroil the military in a conflict with Israel or at least embarrass it for not fighting Israel. Brotherhood would find themselves with many allies, including the Salafist, Hamas and Sinai jihadist, cheered on by millions of ordinary Egyptians.
Sources—weekly standard, lee smith