NEVER SURRENDER

10/11/13
The mockery is meant to obscure the fact the Obamacare is a dysfunctional and unpopular law. The sneers are supposed to convince Republicans and the majority of Americans who oppose obamacare that their efforts are futile. They should continue to fight for whatever they might be able to achieve, such as attaching anti-fraud measures to obamacare or delaying the individual mandate so long as the business mandate is delayed. Some in the GOP, “the surrender caucus” is what senator Ted Cruz call his colleagues who oppose a plan to defund obamacare by threatening to force a government shutdown. Why will it become impossible to stop after 1/1/14? That’s when American will become “hooked on the subsidies, addicted to the sugar”.
Cruz is mistaken obamacare is not guaranteed permanent victory when the subsidies start flowing in 2014.it is by contrast an elaborate regulatory scheme likely to hurt far more people than it helps. The CBO estimates that just 2% of all Americans will receive obamacare subsidies in 2014, rising to around 6% of the population by 2016. but for many recipients obamacare subsidies won’t even make up for the insurance rate hikes the program will cause.
For people who currently are buying their own insurance on the individual market the cost of the average plan will skyrocket in many states, rising a projected 41% in Ohio and 35% in Florida. A study by the Kaiser foundation, just over half of people now on the individual market will qualify for no subsidy whatsoever under obamacare. What about those who will qualify for subsidies? Some will get tax credits insufficient to cover this year’s rate hike. The participation of young Americans is critical to the success of obamacare but a study of the American academy of actuaries found that 80% of Americans younger than 30 will face higher premiums even with subsidies.
Some Americans those earning less than 200% of the poverty level will see significant financial benefits. Insurance will still cost thousands of dollars per year for many beneficiaries who earn slightly more than 250% of the poverty rate.
Obamacare big-government approach to mandating what insurance must cover will do little to rein in the growth of health costs in the long run. Some of the biggest beneficiaries of OBC will be those with preexisting health conditions who have been denied insurance coverage. They will be able to purchase insurance at the same price as healthy American because of an OBC regulation that, incidentally, would still be on the books even if the law were defunded. Any repeal must be tied to a plan to help people with preexisting conditions.
OBC is going to pick the pockets of the young, ration care for the elderly, tax employers, slash wages and benefits of employees, assault religious liberty, subsidize elective abortions with taxpayer money abd bust the budget. Shouldn’t republicans in congress be able to unite behind a set of conservative reforms that helps Americans with preexisting conditions through subsidized high-risk pools while freeing up the market and fixing the tax code to lower costs?” But we’re far from having something that’s going to work forever”, said Reid.
So the big question isn’t really whether OBC will eventually fail, but what comes after it fails. When it stats to unravel will the American people trust the dems to fix it by giving the government more power and more control? Will OBC failure provide an opportunity to repeal it and replace it with a conservative free-market reform? Republicans will have a good shot at passing real reform, but the dems will claim that the problem with OBC isn’t the law itself but rather GOP obstruction and sabotage.
Conservative shouldn’t be panicked into thinking that a government shutdown or debt default this fall is they’re last; best shot at overturning the law. On 1/1 Americans won’t become addicted to OBC so much as they will be afflicted by it.

Source—weekly standard, john mccormack

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